Back to the December 27, 2006 Issue
INVESTMENT OUTLOOK
2006 Investment Outlook Scoreboard

The data and projections you need to make informed choices
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Company Name (fy)
 Industry Code
 Market
Value
($)
 Recent
Share
Price
 2006
Price
Change
%
 Earnings
Growth
2001-2005
%
 Return
On
Equity
 Price as
% of
Book
Value
 P-E
Ratio
 Price-
Sales
Ratio
 Price-
Cash
Flow
 P-E
to
Growth
Rate
 Yield
%
   EARNINGS PER SHARE  
2005
Actual
EPS
   Esimates from Analysts
2006
Analyst
Est.
 2007
Con-
sensus
 Long-term
Growth
Rate
%
 S&P
Equity
Ranking
ALL-INDUSTRY COMPOSITE 15,878.8    165   16  23.5       17.9    419   22  1.6   20.2   2.2   1.30   8.20   9.06       9.25   12.2     
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SECTOR 9,080.6    45   14  24.1       15.2    403   24  1.2   15.9   1.7   1.02   2.30   2.69       2.68   13.1     
1. AUTOMOBILES & COMPONENTS 5,381.0    32   8  26.8       -7.9    330   15  0.5   9.1   1.7   1.30   -0.90   1.36       2.20   10.2     
AMERICAN AXLE & MFG. HOLDINGS    1  949.5    18   0  -17.4       -3.1    100   NM   0.3   5.5   4.8   3.28   1.10   0.39       1.64   10.0   B 
ARVINMERITOR    1  1,222.1    17   20   NM       -27.6    129   NM   0.1    NM    NM   2.31   0.90   -2.51 *    1.17   10.0   B- 
AUTOLIV    1  4,759.1    59   29  56.7       15.5    200   13  0.8   7.1   1.5   2.53   3.26   4.08       4.33   9.5   NR 
BORGWARNER    1  3,326.4    58   -5  34.9       12.5    177   14  0.8   7.3   1.2   1.18   4.17   3.99       4.60   12.0   B+ 
COOPER TIRE & RUBBER    1  811.5    13   -14   NM       -6.8    92   NM   0.3   11.2    NM   3.17   -0.24   -0.44       0.48    NM   B 
GENERAL MOTORS    1  16,532.8    29   51   NM       -86.0    148   NM   0.1   29.5   1.2   3.42   -18.50   4.20       4.73   5.9   B- 
GOODYEAR TIRE & RUBBER    1  2,982.5    17   -3   NM       -6.8    1,695   NM   0.1   4.7    NM   0.00   1.21   0.92       1.67    NM   B- 
HARLEY-DAVIDSON    1  19,116.3    74   43  24.3       35.9    672   19  3.2   15.5   1.6   1.14   3.41   3.91       4.34   12.0   A+ 
JOHNSON CONTROLS    1  15,905.3    81   12  14.2 b    14.0    216   15  0.5   9.2   1.1   1.62   3.90   5.25 *    6.03   14.0   A+ 
LEAR    1  2,085.2    31   9   NM       -59.5    186   NM   0.1    NM    NM   0.00   -20.57   -0.55       1.47   9.0   C 
MODINE MFG.    1  796.6    25   -25  41.0       10.4    152   15  0.5   6.6    NM   2.85   1.78   1.33       1.50    NM   A- 
TENNECO    1  1,073.5    24   20   NM       20.5    488   24  0.2   4.8   1.7   0.00   1.29   1.31       1.93   10.5   B- 
THOR INDUSTRIES    1  2,521.3    45   13  34.0 b    23.6    368   16  0.8   14.3   1.2   0.62   2.13   3.03 *    2.81   12.0   A- 
FLEETWOOD ENTERPRISES    1  490.1    8   -38   NM       -7.6    321   NM   0.2   13.8    NM   0.00   -0.10   -0.72       0.25   15.0   C 
FORD MOTOR    1  15,356.7    8   5   NM       -74.4    168   NM   0.1   2.2    NM   0.00   1.14   -1.32       -1.09   7.9   B- 
TRW AUTOMOTIVE HOLDINGS    1  2,510.7    25   -6   NM       13.7    171   13  0.2   3.5   1.4   0.00   1.99   1.95       2.22   9.0   NR 
VISTEON    1  1,037.2    8   28   NM        NM    NM    1  0.1   0.6    NM   0.00   -2.14   -1.63       -0.67   5.5   NR 
2. CONSUMER DURABLES & APPAREL 4,737.2    55   2  28.0       17.7    264   20  1.0   10.6   1.5   1.27   5.37   5.17       3.92   12.3     
AMERICAN GREETINGS    2  1,427.7    24   8   NM       5.4    123   28  0.8    NM   2.9   1.34   1.23   0.81       1.39   10.0   B- 
BEAZER HOMES USA    2  1,798.5    46   -37  25.5 b    22.8    106   5  0.3   3.8   0.4   0.88   5.87   8.89 *    2.74   12.5   A- 
BLACK & DECKER    2  5,840.3    86   -1  52.1       41.3    490   13  0.9   9.0   1.2   1.77   6.69   7.02       7.38   10.0   B+ 
CENTEX    2  6,556.6    55   -23  36.4       18.7    129   8  0.4   6.5   1.4   0.29   9.20   3.82       3.05   10.0   A+ 
FORTUNE BRANDS    2  12,247.0    81   4  2.9 a    16.9    277   16  1.5   12.3   1.4   1.93   3.87   5.27       5.57   11.3   B 
FURNITURE BRANDS INTERNATIONAL    2  855.3    17   -23  1.1       7.8    95   12  0.4   7.9   1.2   3.72   1.18   1.34       1.48   10.5   B 
HARMAN INTERNATIONAL INDUSTRIES    2  6,770.1    104   6  44.9 b    21.3    559   27  2.0   17.6   1.4   0.05   3.31   3.75 *    4.45   20.0   B+ 
HORTON (D.R.)    2  8,336.2    27   -25  29.4 b    19.1    129   7  0.6   6.5   0.7   2.25   4.62   3.90 *    1.98   10.0   A+ 
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MARKET VALUE: Share price on Nov. 30, 2006, multiplied by the latest available common shares outstanding.

RECENT SHARE PRICE: Price for a single share of a company's most widely traded issue of common stock as of the close of trading Nov. 30, 2006.

PRICE CHANGE: Percentage change in the company's most widely traded common-stock issue since Dec. 31, 2005.

EARNINGS GROWTH: Compound annual growth rate, calculated using the 2001 and 2005 restated basic earnings per share (unless noted otherwise).

RETURN ON EQUITY: The latest available net income available for shareholders divided by total equity.

PRICE AS PERCENTAGE OF BOOK VALUE: Share price on Nov. 30, 2006, as a percentage of the latest available book value per share, which is the sum of common stock at nominal balance-sheet value, capital surplus, and retained earnings as shown in company accounts divided by the number of shares outstanding.

P-E RATIO: Price-earnings ratio based on the latest available 12 months earnings and Nov. 30, 2006, stock price.

PRICE-SALES RATIO: Based on the latest available 12 months sales and the Nov. 30, 2006, stock price.

PRICE-EARNINGS TO GROWTH RATE: The price-earnings ratio based on the 2006 earnings estimate and Nov. 30, 2006, stock price, divided by the long-term earnings growth rate.

DIVIDEND YIELD: Indicated annual dividend as a percent of the Nov. 30, 2006, stock price.

EARNINGS PER SHARE: Diluted earnings per share-net income (including proceeds from certain convertible securities, warrants, and options that are common-stock equivalents, but excluding extraordinary profits or losses) divided by number of common and common equivalent shares.

EARNINGS PER SHARE ESTIMATES: Analysts' consensus estimates for 2006 and 2007 compiled by Thomson First Call.

LONG-TERM EARNINGS GROWTH: The median estimate by analysts of the annual growth rate of earnings compiled by Thomson First Call. For most companies, this is for the next 3 to 5 years.

S&P EQUITY RANKING: A measure of a company's historical growth of earnings and dividends, using Standard & Poor's computerized scoring system based on the most recent 10 years of earnings per share and dividends.

INDUSTRY CODE:
  1. Automobiles & Components
  2. Consumer Durables & Apparel
  3. Hotels Restaurants & Leisure
  4. Media
  5. Retailing
  6. Food & Staples Retailing
  7. Food Beverage & Tobacco
  8. Household & Personal Products
  9. Energy
10. Banks
11. Diversified Financials
12. Insurance
13. Real Estate
14. Health Care Equipment & Services
15. Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology
16. Capital Goods
17. Commercial Services & Supplies
18. Transportation
19. Software & Services
20. Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
21. Technology Hardware & Equipment
22. Materials
23. Telecommunication Services
24. Utilities

Data compiled by Compustat from sources such as statistical services, registration statements, and company reports that Compustat believes to be reliable but are not guaranteed by Comptstat or BusinessWeek as to correctness or completeness. This material is not an offer to buy or sell any security. Additional data: Thomson First Call.



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